ESPN write about a great site called Cool Standings.
Basically it simulates the season one million times a day, uses some stats you can read about there – and spits out a number.
The Mets have a 9.2% shot at the division, only a 5.2% shot at the Wild Card for a total 14% chance of making it.
I hope that Cool Standings are wrong and that the Mets do make it, but then again I was the guy who spent most of the 1990’s telling friends the Mets “were done” on April 30th because Bobby V always had them 8 games back. I was also always right.
Yankees fans (10%) might hate this site, but it’s looking good for The Rays and for Joe Torre’s Formerly Brooklyn Dodgers.
http://www.coolstandings.com/baseball_standings.asp?i=1