Really cool website here: Advanced NFL Stats.
And they wrote about The NFL’s Luckiest Teams which lists the Jets as the luckiest.
I estimate team luck by using my efficiency regression model to calculate each team’s expected wins–how many wins a team can normally expect, on average, given their actual performance in offensive and defensive running, passing, turnovers, and penalties. The difference between the expected wins and actual wins is what I loosely call team luck.
www.metspolice.com
