When Henderson’s ball cleared the fences, the Mets had a 15% chance of winning Game 6, and before Gary Carter’s single started the team’s famous rally, that win probability was down to 1%
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Great post…I was just thinking this morning that I had seen claculations like this before and what were the odds of the Mets winning with two outs. Of course, we don’t know what the accuracy of the 1% is…my gut says it is probably even lower.